Tuesday, April 9, 2013

Rising Student Loan Debt Keeps Buyers Out

Rising Student Loan Debt Keeps Buyers Out

Between 2004 and 2012, student loan balances nearly tripled, according to a new survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. What’s more, one-third of student loan borrowers are delinquent on their debt, according to the Federal Reserve report. This will impact their credit rating and possibly keep them out of the mortgage market much longer.
"Short term, you see a decrease in the number of first-time home buyers," Brian Coester of Coester Valuation Management told CNBC. "You're going to see somebody who would have been able to afford a more expensive house maybe go for the lower version or the downgraded version."
Potential buyers with heavy student debt burden have been forced to rent or even move back in with their parents as they chip away at their debt.
"Long term it's going to really affect especially the upper end, because people aren't going to have the excess income to buy the jumbo property or buy that high end property," says Coester. "It' s going to affect home prices as a negative, as more of a cap, because it's really debt that they are servicing."
Source: “Student Debt Is Housing’s $1 Trillion Challenge,” CNBC.com (April 8, 2013)

Monday, April 8, 2013

Buyers of Foreclosures Need to Act Fast

Buyers of Foreclosures Need to Act Fast

Foreclosures are being listed at far less than what they likely eventually will sell for -- a marketing strategy that generates high interest and multiple bids, some say. As such, buyers of foreclosures need to be prepared to move quickly and come up with a lot more money.
For example, Liz Sidorowicz, a real estate professional with RE/MAX Signature, says she helped her client submit an offer for a foreclosure in Mount Prospect, Ill., for $421,000. The home was listed for $350,000, but her client still lost out to a higher bid.
"I managed to win one out of five last week, but we overbid significantly," Sidorowicz told The Chicago Tribune. "We got the unit and then it didn't appraise. So we have to come up with more money down to make the deal fly."
Some home buyers who bid on foreclosures have to learn the hard way just how competitive snagging a foreclosure bargain can be.
"The consumer gets burned on a house they really like once or twice," Michael Goodwin, an agent at Exit Real Estate Partners, told The Chicago Tribune. "After that happens, they get war-hardened. The next time they are ready to pounce. Not very often does it wind up being the first house. It takes them getting slapped in the face."
Source: “Buying foreclosures requires patience, and a little more money,” The Chicago Tribune (April 5, 2013)

Friday, April 5, 2013

Get Ready for Big Bidding Wars This Spring

Get Ready for Big Bidding Wars This Spring

With tighter inventories of homes for sale, buyers are finding increased competition through bidding wars. But the bidding may not be between only one or two other buyers -- more bidding wars are popping up where dozens or even hundreds of other buyers are all competing for the same property.
"The only question is not whether a new listing will get multiple bids but how many it will get," Kris Vogt, who manages Coldwell Banker offices in the Sacramento area, told CNNMoney.
For example, a home in Elk Grove, Calif., reportedly received 62 separate bids, with the final sales price more than $150,000 above its $129,000 asking price. In Cambridge, Mass., real estate brokers stopped accepting bids after the tally reached 250 bids for two condos listed at $800,000 each. The two condos ended up selling together for $2 million.
Seventy-five percent of real estate agents with the brokerage Redfin surveyed in March say their clients have faced multiple bid situations for properties -- up from 56 percent in late 2011.
Bidding wars appear to be most prevalent in California. Ninety percent of homes sold in San Francisco, Sacramento, and throughout Southern California saw multiple bids during the month, CNNMoney reports. What’s more, at least two-thirds of listings in Boston, Washington, D.C., Seattle, and New York had bidding wars for homes too.
Meanwhile, inventories of for-sale homes continues to be low. The National Association of REALTORS® reported a 19.2 percent drop in inventories year-over-year in February.
Source: “The home bidding wars are back!” CNNMoney (April 4, 2013)

Thursday, April 4, 2013

Home Prices Pick Up at Fastest Pace in 7 Years

Home Prices Pick Up at Fastest Pace in 7 Years

Home prices nationwide, which includes distressed sales, soared 10.2 percent year-over-year, according to CoreLogic’s February report. It’s the largest year-over-year increase in home prices since March 2006. It also marks the twelfth consecutive monthly increase in national home prices, according to CoreLogic’s report.
When excluding distressed sales, home prices rose 10.1 percent year-over-year in February, according to CoreLogic.
“Nationally, home prices improved at the best rate since mid-2006, marking a full year of annual increases and underscoring the ongoing strengthening of market fundamentals,” says Anand Nallathambi, president and CEO of CoreLogic.
CoreLogic predicts that home prices -- excluding distressed sales -- will likely rise 11.4 percent year-over-year from March 2012.
“The rebound in prices is heavily driven by western states,” says Mark Fleming, CoreLogic’s chief economist. “Eight of the top ten highest appreciating large markets are in California, with Phoenix and Las Vegas rounding out the list.”
The five states with the highest price appreciation as of February 2013, according to CoreLogic, were:
  • Nevada (+19.3%)
  • Arizona (+18.6%)
  • California (+15.3%)
  • Hawaii (+14.6%)
  • Idaho (+13.5%)
Source: CoreLogic

Wednesday, April 3, 2013

First-Time Home Buyers: This Spring's 'Wild Card'?

First-Time Home Buyers: This Spring's 'Wild Card'?

First-time home buyers represented the fastest growing segment of home purchasers for January and February, according to the latest Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance HousingPulse Tracking Survey.
Meanwhile, current home owners looking to move up posted the largest drop in market share in the month, dropping to the lowest market share recorded of current home owners since last June.
Current home owners make up 42.5 percent of the market share, while first-time home buyers share climbed to 34.5 percent of home purchase transactions in February, based on a three-month moving average. First-time home buyers posted its second monthly increase, after reaching a four-year survey low of 32.9 percent in December.
The survey showed that first-time home buyer traffic reached a four-year high in February.
“First-time home buyers are the wildcard in the upcoming spring-summer home buying season,” says Thomas Popik, research director for Campbell Surveys. “We see strong first-time homebuyer traffic, but it’s still not clear that the traffic will translate into increased purchases, because first-time home buyers are dependent on low-down-payment financing, such as FHA mortgages, and announced FHA program changes will take effect this spring.”
Current home owners are expected to increase their home purchases this spring, with the survey measuring a big jump in home buyer traffic among this group of buyers too.
Also, investors’ share of home purchases climbed to a four-month high in February, accounting for 34.5 percent of transactions.
Source: Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance HousingPulse Tracking Survey

Tuesday, April 2, 2013

Vacation Home Sales Up in 2012

Vacation-Home Sales Up in 2012

Vacation-home sales improved in 2012, while investment purchases remained elevated for a second consecutive year, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.
The association’s 2013 Investment and Vacation Home Buyers Survey, covering existing- and new-home transactions in 2012, shows vacation-home sales rose 10.1 percent to 553,000 from 502,000 in 2011. Investment-home sales declined 2.1 percent to 1.21 million from 1.23 million in 2011, but those sales had been well under a million during the market downturn. Owner-occupied purchases jumped 17.4 percent to 3.27 million last year from 2.79 million in 2011.
Vacation-home sales accounted for 11 percent of all transactions last year, unchanged from 2011, while the portion of investment sales was 24 percent in 2012, down from 27 percent in 2011, marking the second-highest share since 2005.

What’s Driving the Recovery?

NAR Chief EconomistLawrence Yunsaid favorable conditions are driving second-home sales. “We had a strong stock market recovery, which helps more people in the prime ages for buying vacation homes. Attractively priced recreational property is also a big draw,” he said.
Yun also noted an ongoing investor presence. “Investors have been very active in the market over the past two years, attracted mostly by discounted foreclosures that could be quickly turned into profitable rentals,” he said. “With rising prices and limited inventory, notably in the low price ranges, investors are likely to step back in coming years.”
The median investment-home price was $115,000 in 2012, up 15.0 percent from $100,000 in 2011, while the median vacation-home price was $150,000, compared with $121,300 in 2011, reflecting a greater number of more expensive recreational property sales in 2012.
All-cash purchases remain common in the investment- and vacation-home market: Half of investment buyers paid cash in 2012, as did 46 percent of vacation-home buyers. Forty-seven percent of investment homes purchased in 2012 were distressed homes, as were 35 percent of vacation homes.
Of buyers who financed their purchase with a mortgage in 2012, large down payments remain typical. The median down payment for both investment- and vacation-home buyers was 27 percent, the same as in 2011.

Buyer Info

Investment-home buyers in 2012 had a median age of 45, earned $85,700 and bought a home that was relatively close to their primary residence — a median distance of 21 miles, although 29 percent were more than 100 miles away. Thirty-five percent of investment buyers purchased more than one property.
“Property flipping modestly increased in in 2012,” Yun said. “However, this isn’t flipping in the sense of what took place during the housing boom. Rather, investors generally are renovating and improving properties before placing them back on the market to resell at a profit.”
Six percent of homes purchased by investment buyers last year have already been resold, and another 8 percent are planned to be sold within a year. In the 2011 study, 5 percent of investment homes were already resold, and 8 percent were planned to be sold within a year. Overall, investment buyers plan to hold the property for a median of eight years, up from five years in 2011.
Seventy-eight percent of all second-home buyers said it was a good time to buy, compared with 68 percent of primary-residence buyers. “This suggests that second-home buyers tend to be a step ahead of general buyers in sensing a market recovery,” Yun said.
The typical vacation-home buyer was 47 years old, had a median household income of $92,100 and purchased a property that was a median distance of 435 miles from their primary residence; 34 percent of vacation homes were within 100 miles and 46 percent were more than 500 miles. Buyers plan to own their recreational property for a median of 10 years.
Lifestyle factors remain the primary motivation for vacation-home buyers, while rental income is the main factor in investment purchases.
Buyers listed many reasons buyers for purchasing a vacation home: 80 percent want to use the property for vacations or as a family retreat, 27 percent plan to use it as a primary residence in the future, 23 percent plan to rent to others and 23 percent wanted to diversify their investments or saw a good investment opportunity.
Fifty-five percent of investment buyers said they purchased for rental income, 30 percent wanted to diversify their investments or saw a good investment opportunity, and 20 percent wanted to use the home for vacations or as a family retreat.
Eleven percent of vacation buyers and 16 percent of investment buyers purchased the property for a family member, friend, or relative to use — often for a son or daughter who is attending school.

Nationwide Performance

Forty-five percent of vacation homes purchased last year were in the South, 25 percent were in the West, 17 percent were in the Northeast, and 12 percent were in the Midwest.
Thirty-six percent of investment properties purchased last year were in the South, 28 percent were in the West, 20 percent were in the Northeast, and 16 percent were in the Midwest.
Forty-seven percent of investment buyers said they were likely to purchase another investment property within two years, as did 37 percent of vacation-home buyers. Twenty-nine percent of vacation buyers said they were likely to purchase another vacation home within two years, as did 31 percent of investment buyers.
Approximately 42.8 million people in the U.S. are ages 50-59 — a group that dominated second-home sales in the middle part of the past decade and established records. An additional 43.1 million people are 40-49 years old, which is the prime age for current buyers, while another 40.1 million are 30-39.
NAR’s analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data shows there are 7.9 million vacation homes and 43.7 million investment units in the U.S., compared with 75.2 million owner-occupied homes.
Source: NAR

Monday, April 1, 2013

'Zombie' Foreclosures Haunt Housing Market

'Zombie' Foreclosures Haunt Housing Market

A new study finds that 301,874 “zombie” homes—properties where home owners receive foreclosure notices and move out, leaving the home vacant and deteriorating—exist in the U.S.
The state with the highest number of “zombie” properties is Florida, with 90,556 vacant homes in foreclosure, according to data by RealtyTrac, in their first analysis of “zombie” properties. Illinois ranks second with 31,668 “zombie” properties and California ranks third with 28,821.
However, Kentucky leads overall in percentage of zombie properties; abandoned homes represent 54 percent of Kentucky’s total foreclosure inventory. Abandoned foreclosures also represent 50 percent or more of the properties in foreclosure in Washington, Indiana, Nevada, and Oregon, according to RealtyTrac.
In January, Reuters reported a problem with “zombie” titles—home owners who received a foreclosure notice and walked away from their home but did not realize their names remained on the deed and they were still financially liable for the property. In some cases, the banks never ultimately pursued the foreclosure, but the home owners were unaware of that since they already had moved out.
RealtyTrac counted any property that had been in foreclosure longer than the state average and that showed no significant recent activity on it as a “zombie” property in its report.
"I think the empty foreclosures is less of a long-term threat but it certainly is affecting individual communities and neighborhoods," says Daren Blomquist, RealtyTrac’s vice president.
Source: “More than 300,000 homes are foreclosed ‘zombies,’ study says,” Reuters (March 28, 2013)